, . ..

( 1939 . )


2023/12/04

                       25   ,                        
                         :                           

       2023 .
              W = 73.8            105.4 -      
   41  (2023, )   25  -
     
          W* = 79.9         123.9 -     
          W* = 74.8         122.7 -                   
 
  1  2015 .    ۣ    ޣ -
    , ,     
ӣ    .
[,     W   
~     ,    k=0.65]  

 25    -  2020 ., W*min = 1.2 (1.8);
!!! -    -       -
                      
                 .
  25   - 2020 01 - 2021 10;
   25   -  2024 ., W*max =90-100 (150);
 25    ( )   -   I - VI 2031 .

      (  -
)   2023 .   64  :
      1..115    6.. 77   11.. 79   16.. 30   21..152   26..165
      2..120    7.. 77   12.. 81   17.. 25m  22..155   27..154
      3..122    8..112   13.. 72   18.. 31   23..181M  28..148
      4.. 91    9.. 98   14.. 57   19.. 67   24..162   29..158
      5.. 91   10.. 91   15.. 34   20.. 95   25..174   30..148

     10  (2800 MHz)
  2023 .     2023 .  
                 F = 154.4         F*10.7a= 157.8
 -   2023 .     2023   
     
                  = 8.2                *= XXX
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

                     25   ,                  
                      :                          
                                                                    
        ,  ,  
                  
                       27.11 - 03.12.2023 .                
                       04 - 11.12.2023 .             
               2278 (24.62.11.2023)        
                   (B): (1.5 - 0.8)            
                    (  S30 - N30)               
                                                                     
        . 
       B -
     W= 086+21/-16 (Wn= 132+32/-42). 
     13  ,    6    
.
                                                                      
        -
     .     -
    W=0120+40/-40.                                       
                                                                       
       . 4  - 
  , 88 - , 4 C    79 - 
  ,   1   IV  ( -
 360 ), 1  III (180-270)  4   II (90- 180), -
  .                  
----------------------------------------------------------------------
   1 (     )    
       to   tm   te       (1-8A)     RII/IV CME/to 
                                /   J/m-2        km/s
28.11 1907 1932 1935 S15W02L302 M3.4            13500    II              
28.11 1935 1950 2009 S16W00L302 M9.8            13500    II CMEIV/2021
01.12 0412 0456	0439 N12W73L342	M1.1	   2.7E-0 13502
01.12 2055 2120 2210            M1.0            13500              

B*   to    te   localization l  .  Fl   AO   CME/to
27.11 0531        S26W27L330   >30                 CMEII/0624?
https://www.spaceweather.com/   28 11 2023 -  
27.11 2304  2344  N27E38L341    13      C5.5 13503 CMEII/2348
30.11             S20W40L240    >10
01.12 1344        S30E58L319    >10                CME  /1448  
*-   (DSF, EPL)                      
---------------------------------------------------------------------

     ,      
 .                                                          
                                                                  
          
 :                                                    
---------------------------------------------------------------------
 N    S  W  Sch      R  G       KA
CH - N27L277 S35L317 S35L307 S20L252 7.9% 4-5.12 4 MMS   SDO, HINOTORI
* -  ,     . <6 .
Sch -    %      -
  https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d -  ;  - 
    ; R -    -
; G(0-5)- ݣ    ( -
); A - ݣ  .
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

  1.12/1315 UT    "-"    
.    "+/-"  11.12.  
------------------------------------------------------------------ 
   27     28     29     30     01     02    03           
Wus     150    130    164    138    140    092    107
F10.7   187    182    171    167    162    148    139    
bcg   1.1   1.1   1.2   1.0   1.2   1.1   B9.6    GOES       
Sp      885    335    530    620    640    580    550    msh        
N               1      3             1             2      
IMF      +      +      +      +     +/-     -      -     DSCOVR     
>2  2.1+6 3.7E+6 1.1E+7 1.4E+7 1.6E+6 1.1+6 1.3+6    GOES       
Ie>2    153    180    392    394    324    131   <131    pfU       
Ap       6      6      4      4      50     13     10    n        
Dst                                -107                  n KIOTO  
Amsc     6      6      4      4      39     11     9     n IZMIRAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------
>2 -    >2 MeV    e/(cm2-ster-day);  
Ie>2-       
     GOES 15  (electrons/cm2-s-sr) -    
  >/=1000 pfu).
 
       >2   -
.

        -
  >2    5.12.

    (G3,Ams=56, =27 )     -
   (G2,Ams= 49, = 18 )      - 
 1-2.12       27.11  -
  28.11.        
  .  
 
    5.12      -
    "-" .  -
       80%.     -
      . 
 
       
,             http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/     
     ,   
,         http://sidc.oma.be/,  
 (, ) http://www.izmiran.ru
                                                .