SOLAR SUNSPOT ACTIVITY OF THE SUN OF THE LAST PERIOD AGAIN HAS RISEN TO THE AVERAGE LEVEL. SETTLEMENT, RATING, WEEKLY AVERAGE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE PERIOD HAS MADE W=036+4/-26. ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN IT WAS OBSERVED FROM ONE (13.06) TO 3 SUNSPOT GROUPS. NEXT WEEK A LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED LOW AND BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE AVERAGE. THE MOST LIKELY THE CALCULATED WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT PERIOD W=040+10/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL ON JUNE, 14th WHEN IN SUNSPOT GROUP OF THE AVERAGE SIZE NEAR EAST LIMB THERE WAS FLARE OF X-RAY CLASS í1.3/SF, AND ON A LOW LEVEL IN OTHER DAYS. SOHO CORONOGRAPH FOR THE PERIOD ARE REGISTRED 32 CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS FROM THEM 2 TYPES "PARTIAL HALO II" (TO 180 deg.) 13.06 And III (TO 270 deg.) 14.06. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ to tm te location Class å(1-8A) áR Radio II/IV CME Pr X-ray Ïp J/m-2 14.06 2136 2147 >2210 N15E47L174 M12.3/SF 1.8E-2 to te location l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl Aï CME DSF 14/0609 1500 SE CME/pH/750km/s DSF 16/ 1426 S23W335L250 10 CME/1612 UT DSF 17/>0841 2157 S15W17L286 --------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW AND AVERAGE LEVELS. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK FOR LAST WEEK WERE OBSERVED NEXT CORONAL HOLES: -------------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end å end S end W end EE R Observatories óî - S05L154 S27L145 S31L149 S15L170 23.06 2 KP, SDO, SOHO..... R - solar rotations; KP - KITT PEAK solar observatory; EE - date of possible geomagnetic disturbation in the Earth's environment. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- WITH 11.06/14 UT THE EARTH WAS IN + SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOOUNDERY + /- THE EARTH SHOULD PASS ON 22.06. JUNE 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 JUNE Wus 016 048 048 062 065 067 047 F10.7 087 099 102 103 104 099 099 èbcg B2.6 B2.4 B2.2 B3.0 B2.9 B2.3 ÷2.0 GOES Sp 020 230 450 450 360 350 270 Nnew 1 1 1 1 IMF - - - - - - - /+ ACE Å>2 1.0å+7 1.5å+7 2.8å+7 3.1E+7 1.5å+7 6.9å+6 5.5å+6 GOES Nm% THULE Ap 9 7 8 4 12 4 3 áÒ Dst KIOTO Amsc 11 9 10 8 11 8 9 IZMIRAN ----------------------------------------------------------------- THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS NOT OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT HIGH LEVEL IS NOT EXPECTED. GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS WERE UNSETTLED ALL PERIOD. FROM EJECTION OF SOLAR FILAMENT 14.06 IN THE ENVIRONEMENT SPACE SUDDEN IMPULSE SI-17/0244 UT WAS OBSERVED, HOWEVER ON THE CONDITION OF THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IT PRACTICALLY WASN'T REFLECTED. NEXT WEEK ON JUNE, 23RD THE EARTH WILL PASS THE HIGH-SPEED STREAM OF THE SOLAR WIND FROM CORONAL HOLE OF THE SOLAR SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WHICH IN THE PREVIOUS TURN HAS CAUSED THE SMALL MAGNETIC STORM. PROBABILITY OF THE MAGNETIC STORM 23-24.06 ORDER OF 40 %. IN OTHER DAYS IT IS MOST PROBABLE QUIET AND UNSETTLED GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS.