Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 08- 14.01.2018, Forecast on 15 - 22.01.2018, Carrington Rotation 2199 (30,94.12.2017) Earth above the ecliptic (0.6 - 0.1) deg. (S30 - N30 is geoeffectiveness zone) SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL AND THE SUN WAS SPOTLESS AFTER 12.01 (6 - IN 2018). THE ESTIMATED, MOST LI- KELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE PERIOD W= 004+4/-4 (Wn= 007+5 /-5). ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK ONE SMALL AND QUITE SUNSPOT GROUP HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WITH HIGH PROBABILITY WILL BE ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL. LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELA- TIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS W = 010+10/-10. THE FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE VERY LOW LEVEL.NO EJECTION OF SOLAR FILAMENT AND CORONAL MASS EJECTION HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME/to --------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Space Obser. CH - S03L241 S10L246 S12L243 S05L239 <2000 10.01 8 SDO, SOHO... óH + N28L261 N05L281 N02L271 N22L251 12.01 8 G1 SDO, SOHO... CH - N21L184 N05L194 N01L189 N09L164 20.01 3 G0 SDO, SOHO... Last CH - from south polar CH family. Sch - CH Square in Mm**2 (in square megameters) near the central meri- dian on http://sdowww.lmsal.com/suntoday/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AFTER 02.12/17 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG- NETIC FIELD. NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY +/- EARTH SHOULD BE PASSED 0N 16.01. äåëáâòø 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 äåëáâòø Wus 013 013 011 012 000 000 000 F10.7 070 071 070 071 071 071 071 èbcg á2.8 á3.0 A3.2 A3.1 A3.1 A3.0 A3.0 GOES Sp 010 010 010 010 000 000 000 msh N 1 1 IMF + ~/+ ~ + ~ +/~ + DSCOVR Å>2 3.5E+5 1.5E+5 4.4E+5 6.8å+5 4.8å+5 9.9å+5 1.5E+6 GOES Ie>2 pfu Ap 9 10 4 2 3 6 14 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 8 9 3 2 3 7 11 nô IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT HAS NOT OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS OR- BIT IS EXPECTED 16-20.01. GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS UNSETTLED AND QUIET IN THE PERIOD. NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION IS EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov