Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 15- 21.01.2018, Forecast on 22 - 29.01.2018, Carrington Rotation 2199, 2200 (30,94.12.2017; 27,28.01.2018) Earth above the ecliptic (0.0 - -0.7) deg. (S30 - N30 is geoeffectiveness zone) SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL AND THE SUN WAS SPOTLESS ALL PERIOD (15 DAYS IN 2018). THE ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE PERIOD W= 000 (Wn= 000). NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WITH HIGH PROBABILITY WILL BE ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL. WITH A GRATE PROBABILITY, WE ARE WAITING FOR THE NEXT WEEK OF THE SPOTLESS SUN. LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIO- NAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS W = 010+10/-10. THE FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE VERY LOW LEVEL. NO EJECTION OF SO- LAR FILAMENT AND TWO CORONAL MASS EJECTION HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME/to --------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Space Obser. Sch - CH Square in Mm**2 (in square megameters) near the central meri- dian on http://sdowww.lmsal.com/suntoday/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AFTER 18.01/17 UT THE EARTH IS IN "-" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG- NETIC FIELD. NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY -/+ EARTH SHOULD BE PASSED 0N 28.01. ñî÷áòø 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 ñî÷áòø Wus 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 F10.7 070 071 070 070 070 069 069 èbcg á2.7 á2.7 A2.5 A2.3 A2.4 A2.3 A2.1 GOES Sp 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 msh N IMF - - - - ~/- -/+ + DSCOVR Å>2 8.8E+6 4.2E+7 3.8E+7 2.0å+6 5.3å+6 7.1å+6 7.7E+6 GOES Ie>2 449 1111 1043 137 169 348 186 pfu Ap 11 4 9 10 7 6 4 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 10 5 9 12 7 9 5 nô IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT HAS BE- GUN 23.01/1830 UT AND OBSERVED 23 - 24.01. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS OR- BIT IS NOT EXPECTED. GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS UNSETTLED AND QUIET IN THE PERIOD. NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION IS EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov